The US Treasury Department sanctioned the Geneva-based Rosneft Trading SA, a subsidiary of the Russian oil giant Rosneft, for allegedly helping the Maduro government evade sanctions on Venezuela’s oil sector. The US will freeze any assets that Rosneft Trading …
Just as important was what Trump did not say about Venezuela. He did not mention the “military option” that has so divided the Venezuelan opposition over the past two years. Nor did he mention “temporary protected status” for Venezuelans in the United States.
Guaidó needs to demonstrate he still has Trump’s support..For Trump the Venezuela issue is mainly interesting in terms of Florida electoral politics. The current stalemate actually works quite well for those purposes and any change of course might not be worth the risk.
With an increasingly adverse domestic context, Venezuela’s National Assembly (AN) president Juan Guaidó has defied a Supreme Court travel ban and has set out on an international tour to build international support. It is a risky move for Guaidó, as …
The attack on the deputies suggests the government is not going to pull back on its push to take over the National Assembly...a multi-faceted push appears to be underway to consolidate their control.
Venezuela’s political situation decayed even further this week as the Maduro government pushed to seize control of the National Assembly rather than allow National Assembly president Juan Guaidó be elected to a second term.
(See explainers from AP, the …
The Maduro government is trying to nibble away at the majority coalition to prevent Guaidó from getting the 84 votes he needs in the 167 seat legislature. The dominant opposition coalition is doing what it can to keep its majority in tact for the January 5, 2020 re-election of Juan Guaidó as National Assembly president.
Venezuela’s economic context is in transformation yet again with a process of liberalization and dollarization leading to a small recovery, alleviating some but leaving others even worse off.
The opposition’s current problems are indicators of a conjuncture in which they need to decide, on multiple fronts, whether they are a temporary parallel government that seeks to dislodge Maduro through maximum pressure in the short-term, despite the costs on the Venezuelan people and the inevitable scandals involved in working through improvised institutions; or whether they are going to seek sustainability and prioritize the well-being of the Venezuelan people by reaching some sort of modus vivendi with the Maduro government, despite the costs of tacitly recognizing it.
U.S. Special Representative for Venezuela Elliott Abrams suggested that there would be no change in U.S. strategy. “No, we don’t have a plan B. We have a plan A that we think will work.”